Our model gives Ganzhou Ruishi a 36% chance to win this one, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Hangzhou Linping Wuyue.

Both teams are projected to score in 43% of simulations, against 57% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 33% likelihood against 67% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Ganzhou Ruishi have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Hangzhou Linping Wuyue have done so in 1 of their last 1.