Our model gives Ganzhou Ruishi a 28% chance to win this one, against 31% for a draw and 41% for Guangzhou Dandelion.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 37% likelihood against 63% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Ganzhou Ruishi have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Guangzhou Dandelion have done so in 1 of their last 3.