Our model gives Gainare Tottori a 33% chance to win this one, against 28% for a draw and 39% for Roasso Kumamoto.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 44% likelihood against 56% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Gainare Tottori have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Roasso Kumamoto have done so in 0 of their last 2.