Our model gives Górnik Łęczna a 40% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Kalisz.

Both teams are projected to score in 49% of simulations, against 51% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 50% likelihood against 50% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Górnik Łęczna have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5, and Kalisz have done so in 1 of their last 4.