Our model gives Fukushima United a 81% chance to win this one, against 11% for a draw and 7% for Oyama.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 45% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 76% likelihood against 24% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Fukushima United have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2.