Our model gives Friska Viljor a 45% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 37% for Fränsta.

Both teams are projected to score in 74% of simulations, against 26% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 80% likelihood against 20% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Friska Viljor have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Fränsta have done so in 2 of their last 2.