Our model gives Frigg a 68% chance to win this one, against 14% for a draw and 17% for Lokomotiv Oslo.

Both teams are projected to score in 74% of simulations, against 26% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 86% likelihood against 14% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Frigg have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Lokomotiv Oslo have done so in 2 of their last 4.