Our model gives Forward Madison a 65% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Alta.

Both teams are projected to score in 52% of simulations, against 48% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Forward Madison have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5, and Alta have done so in 3 of their last 4.