Our model gives Fortaleza U20 a 66% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 14% for Ferroviário U20.

Both teams are projected to score in 48% of simulations, against 52% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Fortaleza U20 have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Ferroviário U20 have done so in 0 of their last 1.