Our model gives Fort Wayne a 44% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 30% for One Knoxville.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Fort Wayne have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and One Knoxville have done so in 2 of their last 3.