Our model gives Forde a 37% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 45% for Fana.

Both teams are projected to score in 76% of simulations, against 24% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 81% likelihood against 19% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Forde have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Fana have done so in 4 of their last 4.