Our model gives Foolad a 45% chance to win this one, against 35% for a draw and 20% for Shams Azar Qazvin.

Both teams are projected to score in 34% of simulations, against 66% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 34% likelihood against 66% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Foolad have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Shams Azar Qazvin have done so in 0 of their last 1.