Our model gives Floreat Athena a 66% chance to win this one, against 16% for a draw and 18% for Cockburn City.

Both teams are projected to score in 68% of simulations, against 32% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 76% likelihood against 24% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Floreat Athena have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Cockburn City have done so in 3 of their last 3.