Our model gives Fleetwood Town U21 a 28% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 54% for Burnley U21.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 72% likelihood against 28% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Fleetwood Town U21 have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Burnley U21 have done so in 0 of their last 1.