Our model gives Fleet Town a 19% chance to win this one, against 21% for a draw and 61% for Melksham Town.

Both teams are projected to score in 53% of simulations, against 47% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Fleet Town have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and Melksham Town have done so in 0 of their last 1.