Our model gives Figueirense U20 a 33% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 47% for Avaí U20.

Both teams are projected to score in 69% of simulations, against 31% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 71% likelihood against 29% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Figueirense U20 have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2, and Avaí U20 have done so in 2 of their last 3.