Our model gives FC Sääripotku a 14% chance to win this one, against 11% for a draw and 75% for Ylivieska.

Both teams are projected to score in 71% of simulations, against 29% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 88% likelihood against 12% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, FC Sääripotku have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Ylivieska have done so in 0 of their last 1.