Our model gives FC Cajamarca a 32% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 42% for Cusco FC.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 55% likelihood against 45% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, FC Cajamarca have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Cusco FC have done so in 3 of their last 4.