Our model gives FBK Karlstad a 50% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 27% for Piteå.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, FBK Karlstad have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and Piteå have done so in 0 of their last 2.