Our model gives Farsta a 64% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 18% for Karlslund.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 71% likelihood against 29% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Farsta have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Karlslund have done so in 2 of their last 3.