Our model gives Farense a 39% chance to win this one, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Torreense.

Both teams are projected to score in 45% of simulations, against 55% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 39% likelihood against 61% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Farense have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Torreense have done so in 2 of their last 2.