Our model gives Farense a 35% chance to win this one, against 33% for a draw and 32% for Felgueiras 1932.

Both teams are projected to score in 44% of simulations, against 56% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 44% likelihood against 56% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Farense have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and Felgueiras 1932 have done so in 0 of their last 1.