Our model gives Fana a 75% chance to win this one, against 12% for a draw and 13% for Gneist.

Both teams are projected to score in 68% of simulations, against 32% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 84% likelihood against 16% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Fana have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Gneist have done so in 3 of their last 3.