Our model gives Falubaz Zielona Góra a 35% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 40% for Znicz Pruszków.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 61% likelihood against 39% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Falubaz Zielona Góra have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Znicz Pruszków have done so in 3 of their last 3.