Our model gives Fagiano Okayama a 77% chance to win this one, against 15% for a draw and 8% for Beluga Rosso Hamada.

Both teams are projected to score in 38% of simulations, against 62% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Fagiano Okayama have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 2.