Our model gives EuPa a 73% chance to win this one, against 14% for a draw and 14% for JyTy Turku.

Both teams are projected to score in 63% of simulations, against 37% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 80% likelihood against 20% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, EuPa have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 2, and JyTy Turku have done so in 2 of their last 3.