Our model gives Energetik-BGU a 33% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 43% for Lida.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Energetik-BGU have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Lida have done so in 5 of their last 5.