Our model gives Elverum a 53% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 28% for Ørn Horten.

Both teams are projected to score in 65% of simulations, against 35% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 70% likelihood against 30% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Elverum have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Ørn Horten have done so in 1 of their last 4.