Our model gives Elverum a 31% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 49% for Lillehammer.

Both teams are projected to score in 70% of simulations, against 30% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 75% likelihood against 25% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Elverum have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Lillehammer have done so in 2 of their last 3.