Our model gives Elgin City a 48% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Stirling Albion.

Both teams are projected to score in 61% of simulations, against 39% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 60% likelihood against 40% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Elgin City have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Stirling Albion have done so in 2 of their last 4.