Our model gives Elana Toruń a 19% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 61% for Unia Swarzedz.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Elana Toruń have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Unia Swarzedz have done so in 2 of their last 3.