Our model gives Edgeworth Eagles a 63% chance to win this one, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Belmont Swansea.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 71% likelihood against 29% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Edgeworth Eagles have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 4, and Belmont Swansea have done so in 2 of their last 3.