Our model gives Echallens a 35% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 43% for Chênois.

Both teams are projected to score in 69% of simulations, against 31% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 73% likelihood against 27% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Echallens have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 2, and Chênois have done so in 2 of their last 2.