Our model gives East Kilbride a 53% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Queen of the South.

Both teams are projected to score in 62% of simulations, against 38% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 63% likelihood against 37% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, East Kilbride have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Queen of the South have done so in 2 of their last 3.