Our model gives East Fife a 22% chance to win this one, against 23% for a draw and 55% for Ross County.

Both teams are projected to score in 54% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, East Fife have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Ross County have done so in 3 of their last 4.