Our model gives East Cowes Victoria Athletic a 26% chance to win this one, against 20% for a draw and 54% for AFC Stoneham.

Both teams are projected to score in 59% of simulations, against 41% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 65% likelihood against 35% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, East Cowes Victoria Athletic have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 1, and AFC Stoneham have done so in 0 of their last 1.