Our model gives Douglas Haig a 58% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Sol de América.

Both teams are projected to score in 42% of simulations, against 58% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 40% likelihood against 60% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Douglas Haig have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Sol de América have done so in 2 of their last 4.