Our model gives Douglas Haig a 55% chance to win this one, against 25% for a draw and 20% for 9 de Julio Rafaela.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 47% likelihood against 53% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Douglas Haig have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 1, and 9 de Julio Rafaela have done so in 1 of their last 1.