Our model gives Dordoi Bishkek a 77% chance to win this one, against 14% for a draw and 9% for Kara-Balta.

Both teams are projected to score in 48% of simulations, against 52% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 62% likelihood against 38% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Dordoi Bishkek have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 4, and Kara-Balta have done so in 3 of their last 3.