Our model gives Donaufeld a 40% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 38% for Mattersburg 2020.

Both teams are projected to score in 64% of simulations, against 36% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 69% likelihood against 31% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Donaufeld have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4, and Mattersburg 2020 have done so in 2 of their last 4.