Our model gives Dinamo Zagreb a 78% chance to win this one, against 17% for a draw and 6% for Rudeš.

Both teams are projected to score in 45% of simulations, against 55% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 59% likelihood against 41% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Dinamo Zagreb have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5, and Rudeš have done so in 3 of their last 3.