Our model gives Dinamo Zagreb a 81% chance to win this one, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 66% likelihood against 34% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Dinamo Zagreb have gone over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5, and Lokomotiva Zagreb have done so in 2 of their last 2.