Our model gives Dinamo Minsk a 34% chance to win this one, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Torpedo BelAZ.

Both teams are projected to score in 40% of simulations, against 60% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 34% likelihood against 66% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Dinamo Minsk have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Torpedo BelAZ have done so in 0 of their last 1.