Our model gives Dinamo Minsk a 49% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Slavia.

Both teams are projected to score in 46% of simulations, against 54% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 43% likelihood against 57% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Dinamo Minsk have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Slavia have done so in 2 of their last 2.