Our model gives Dinamo Minsk a 50% chance to win this one, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Baranovichi.

Both teams are projected to score in 47% of simulations, against 53% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 45% likelihood against 55% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Dinamo Minsk have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and Baranovichi have done so in 2 of their last 2.