Our model gives Diósgyőr a 56% chance to win this one, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Szentlőrinc SE.

Both teams are projected to score in 55% of simulations, against 46% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 53% likelihood against 47% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Diósgyőr have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 3, and Szentlőrinc SE have done so in 0 of their last 2.