Our model gives Deportivo Paraguayo a 44% chance to win this one, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Leandro Nicéforo Alem.

Both teams are projected to score in 42% of simulations, against 58% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 35% likelihood against 65% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Deportivo Paraguayo have gone over 2.5 goals in 1 of their last 4, and Leandro Nicéforo Alem have done so in 0 of their last 2.