Our model gives Deportivo Cuenca Juniors a 36% chance to win this one, against 34% for a draw and 30% for 9 de Octubre.

Both teams are projected to score in 35% of simulations, against 65% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 28% likelihood against 72% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Deportivo Cuenca Juniors have gone over 2.5 goals in 0 of their last 3, and 9 de Octubre have done so in 0 of their last 3.