Our model gives Deportivo Binacional a 27% chance to win this one, against 22% for a draw and 51% for Comerciantes.

Both teams are projected to score in 56% of simulations, against 44% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 56% likelihood against 44% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Deportivo Binacional have gone over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 3, and Comerciantes have done so in 1 of their last 2.