Our model gives Deportes Temuco a 39% chance to win this one, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Recoleta.

Both teams are projected to score in 58% of simulations, against 42% where at least one side is kept off the scoresheet.

The model leans toward over 2.5 total goals, giving it a 58% likelihood against 42% for under 2.5.

Looking at recent form across all competitions, Deportes Temuco have gone over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4, and Recoleta have done so in 2 of their last 4.